This Week's SEC Predictions
Here are my SEC predictions for this weekend, excluding the Georgia-Kentucky game which I will predict on Friday.
Last week I went 5-2.
Mississippi State at Alabama:
"Alabama is a typical Alabama team. They've lost some close games, but they've won some close games as well. The names and the faces may change, but the jerseys are the same." - MSU Head Coach Sylvester Croom
Key to the game for Mississippi State: Make big plays on defense and special teams. The Bulldogs are probably the most injured team in the conference. QB Michael Henig has missed practices, but should play. There are so many injuries on offense that it's hard to see MSU scoring a lot of points conventionally.
Key to the game for Alabama: Air it out. MSU has the second worst pass defense in the SEC, behind only Kentucky.
Prediction: Alabama wins easily.
Florida at Vanderbilt:
"As a coaching staff, we've had more turnovers this season than I've ever had. We place a premium on this issue." - Florida Head Coach Urban Meyer
Vanderbilt beat Georgia. Georgia played Florida tough. Does that mean Vanderbilt can hang in there against the Gators?
Key to the game for Florida: Last week I said the key to the game for Duke against Vandy would be stopping the run and making QB Chris Nickson beat them. Nickson responded by earning SEC Player of the Week honors. Still, that was Duke. This is Florida. UF's pass defense is good enough for me to say that the key is, once again, making Vanderbilt one-dimensional and stopping the running game.
Key to the game for Vanderbilt: Red zone defense. It's okay to let UF drive, but keep them out of the endzone. Make PK Chris Hetland, or whoever takes his place, kick a lot.
Prediction: In a closer game than most would expect, UF pulls it out on the road.
Northwestern State at Ole Miss:
"Obviously being a I-AA team, they don't have a lot of good athletes, but they have some athletes who will be NFL players. We have to come out ready to play and work on the things we need to do to get better." - Mississippi Head Coach Ed Orgeron
I don't know much about Northwestern State, but the I-AA school has been destroyed by Kansas and Baylor.
Key to the game for Northwestern State: Use some trick plays. I don't know, I guess that could work.
Key to the game for Ole Miss: Get TE Robert Lane involved. And don't overlook this week's opponent as LSU is next on the schedule.
Prediction: Ole Miss snaps a three-game losing streak.
Arkansas State at Auburn:
"We're in pretty good shape physically. We've had one good practice yesterday and we're looking forward to having another one today. We're starting to get some guys back who have been out three to six weeks." - Auburn Head Coach Tommy Tuberville
The Auburn Tigers get all their tough games at home this year. They also get Arkansas State at home. The Indians beat Memphis 26-3, but lost to Florida Atlantic 29-0.
Key to the game for Arkansas State: Get after the quarterback. Auburn has allowed an alarming 24 sacks, behind only Mississippi State's 26 sacks.
Key to the game for Auburn: Let QB Brandon Cox go wild. We all know Auburn can run the ball, so in a game like this, let the quarterback put up big numbers and get some confidence going into the tougher games.
Prediction: Auburn
LSU at Tennessee:
"I think it will be very difficult versus their defense to score a lot of points. If you look at the defense and special teams in this game, there is a chance for both teams to make a big play and have a chance to be a difference in the game." - UT Head Coach Phillip Fulmer
The game of the week. The SEC's best passing offense (Tennessee) vs. the SEC's best passing defense (LSU). Volunteers QB Erik Ainge says he will play.
Key to the game for LSU: Coach Les Miles said it himself: "There's no question about it, we've got to establish the run when we get there." (quote from New Orleans Times-Picayune) In a tough road environment against a good team, you have to be able to gain yards on the ground. Failure to do that was a problem at Auburn.
Key to the game for Tennessee: It's all about protecting Erik Ainge. If the Vols offensive line can do that, he'll do his part. LSU leads the SEC in sacks. Tennessee leads the SEC with the fewest sacks allowed. That battle could be the most important aspect of the game.
Prediction: Another great game, and maybe another great fourth quarter performance from the Volunteers. I see Tennessee winning this one. LSU will then be the best three-loss team in the country.
Arkansas at South Carolina:
"Last year McFadden gained 184 yards against us... We need to slow him down some this year." - South Carolina Head Coach Steve Spurrier
USC has great fans. They show up no matter what and they are loud. But for some reason, the Gamecocks are 2-3 at home and 3-0 on the road. The fact is, the road games have been much easier than the home games, but it would be nice to see South Carolina give their fans something to cheer about.
Key to the game for Arkansas: Keep Syvelle Newton in the pocket. We were at Tennessee's press conference yesterday, and the Vols raved about Newton's speed. The Razorbacks must make him throw the ball.
Key to the game for South Carolina: It's incredibly obvious. Arkansas runs better than any other SEC team. Only Ole Miss has a worse passing game. Teams have tried to stop the run before, and they have failed. When Auburn lost to Arkansas, Tigers Coach Tommy Tuberville said his players overran their assignments. So USC's defense must stay disciplined and be ready for a physical game.
Prediction: The SEC West will get a lot more interesting after Arkansas loses at South Carolina.






